Thursday, October 2, 2025

Red Flag Warnings

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Tri-State Area Suffers from Worsening Drought, Wildfires

Prolonged Drought Situation

The tri-state area, including New Jersey, New York City, and Fairfield County, Connecticut, is experiencing a prolonged and increasingly extreme drought situation. The drought started in September, with a dry start to the month and a record-breaking 0.01 inch of rain in October, making it the driest calendar month in Central Park since record-keeping began in the 1860s. November has not broken the mold, with still no rain in the first week of the month.

Worsening Drought Conditions

The latest update to the drought monitor shows every county within the area now under at least moderate drought conditions. Severe drought in New Jersey has expanded from South Jersey into Central and parts of North Jersey, with extreme drought conditions affecting parts of Ocean County. The drought has also impacted the New York reservoirs, which provide water to nearly half the state, including NYC, with levels at 64% capacity, compared to the average of 79%.

Drought Watch Issued

As a result of the lower water levels, NYC’s Department of Environmental Protection issued a drought watch, urging city agencies to reduce water usage and encouraging residents to cut their water usage. Suggested actions include shorter showers and reducing water waste.

Wildfire Danger

The widespread drought has led to persistent fire danger across the region. The dry conditions have allowed for extensive amounts of available dry brush, making wildfires easy to start and quick to spread. There are currently multiple active wildfires across the state of New Jersey, with conditions expected to worsen on Friday.

Red Flag Warnings

Red flag warnings were issued for nearly a dozen New Jersey counties and many in New York, including the five boroughs of New York City, and Fairfield County in Connecticut. The warnings were issued due to low humidity and gusty winds, which can amplify the wildfire danger.

Conclusion

Until the region receives meaningful rain and reduces its near-eight inch seasonal rain deficit, the fire risk will only get worse. Our next chance for rain comes Sunday evening, but it won’t be too impactful, with only a quarter to a half-inch of rain expected.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is causing the drought in the tri-state area?
A: The drought started in September and has been exacerbated by a record-breaking dry October and a lack of rain in November.

Q: How is the drought affecting the New York reservoirs?
A: The reservoirs are at 64% capacity, compared to the average of 79%.

Q: What is the current fire danger like in the region?
A: The fire danger is very high, with red flag warnings issued for nearly a dozen New Jersey counties and many in New York, including the five boroughs of New York City, and Fairfield County in Connecticut.

Q: What can residents do to help reduce water usage?
A: Residents can take actions such as shorter showers, reducing water waste, and using drought-resistant plants in their landscaping.

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