Thursday, October 2, 2025

MTA Responds to Comptroller’s Gloomy Financial Forecast

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MTA Faces Financial Shortfall Due to Low Ridership and Congestion Pricing

The Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) is facing a significant financial shortfall, driven in part by lower-than-expected ridership. According to a report from State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli, the MTA’s 2024 budget gap is estimated to be $211 million, which is expected to grow to $652 million by 2028 if the agency is unable to make up for lost revenue from congestion pricing.

The report warns that if the MTA’s financial situation does not improve, the agency could face a budget gap of $3 billion by 2028.

Causes of the Shortfall

The report identifies several factors contributing to the MTA’s financial struggles, including:

  1. Lower-than-expected ridership: Paid ridership on subways and buses has plateaued at around 70% of pre-pandemic levels, resulting in a revenue loss of $811 million through 2027.
  2. Fare evasion: The MTA has struggled with fare evasion, which has further impacted revenue.
  3. Short staffing: The MTA has faced challenges with short staffing, leading to increased overtime costs.
  4. Overtime and pension costs: The MTA is also facing significant expenses related to overtime and pension costs.
  5. Revenue shortfalls from real estate taxes: The MTA has also experienced revenue shortfalls from real estate taxes, which have dropped by $790 million over the next four years.

Potential Solutions

MTA Chair and CEO Janno Lieber has stated that the agency is committed to finding a solution to its financial crisis without increasing fares or reducing service. The agency is exploring other options, including finding new revenue sources and reducing expenses.

Response from Transit Advocates

Public transit advocate Danny Pearlstein of the Riders Alliance criticized the state’s decision to cancel the congestion pricing plan, stating, "The governor’s recklessness has led to steep fare hikes and deep service cuts, along with indefinite waits for accessible stations, reliable trains, and faster buses."

Conclusion

The MTA faces a significant financial challenge, driven by a combination of factors, including lower-than-expected ridership, fare evasion, and revenue shortfalls. The agency is working to find a solution to its financial crisis without increasing fares or reducing service.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the size of the MTA’s budget gap?
A: The MTA’s 2024 budget gap is estimated to be $211 million, which is expected to grow to $652 million by 2028.

Q: What are the main causes of the MTA’s financial struggles?
A: The main causes include lower-than-expected ridership, fare evasion, short staffing, overtime and pension costs, and revenue shortfalls from real estate taxes.

Q: What is the MTA’s plan to address its financial crisis?
A: The MTA is exploring new revenue sources and reducing expenses to address its financial crisis, without increasing fares or reducing service.

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