A tropical system could take shape over Florida over the next several days, forecasters said Monday afternoon. South Florida\u2019s July Fourth weekend will likely have \u201cplentiful rainfall\u201d regardless of whether the tropical system forms or not.
\n
\nThe week will see between a 30% and 60% chance of rain most days. Those odds will rise to 70% on Saturday.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe timing is still very uncertain, but towards the end of the week and into the weekend are the biggest (rain days) we\u2019re looking at,\u201d said National Weather Service meteorologist Jennifer Simmons.
\nThere also will be a high potential for flooding, according to the National Weather Service\u2019s Miami office.<\/p>\n
The National Hurricane Center is watching an area of low pressure that has a 20% chance of developing into a tropical system over the next seven days. That system could bring heavy rain and flooding to a wide swath of Florida later in the week \u2014 and could disrupt July Fourth plans across the state.
\nThe forecast area for the system spreads from just below the Panhandle into South Florida, the center\u2019s weather outlook map shows.<\/p>\n
\u201cIf a system does develop, it could potentially help enhance the aforementioned chances for showers and thunderstorms across the region, and elevate the potential for severe and flooding impacts,\u201d the weather service said.
\n\u201cDeep moisture\u201d produced by the system could last into next weekend, according to an advisory issued by the hurricane center.
\nMoisture will be coming from two directions, Simmons said. A southerly flow will bring moisture from the Caribbean. \u201cRegardless of whether this system turns into a tropical event or not, we\u2019re going to see an increase in moisture, which could lead to precipitation,\u201d said Simmons. Flooding rainfall is also a potential risk, she said.<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Barry dissipated over Mexico, and Tropical Storm Flossie has formed off southern Mexico\u2019s Pacific coast. Flossie is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday morning and travel northwest off Mexico\u2019s coast.
\nFlossie is expected to weaken into a tropical storm by Thursday morning before nearly the Baja Peninsula.
\nThe first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Andrea, formed June 24 and was no threat to land.<\/p>\n
Colorado State University\u2019s hurricane forecast for 2025 estimates 17 named storms, with nine of them becoming hurricanes.
\nThe next named storm to form in the Atlantic basin would be Chantal.
\nHurricane season runs through Nov. 30.<\/p>\n
In conclusion, the upcoming July Fourth weekend is expected to be wet, with a high chance of rainfall and potential flooding. The development of a tropical system over Florida could further exacerbate the situation, leading to severe and flooding impacts. It is essential to stay informed about the latest weather forecast and take necessary precautions to ensure a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend.<\/p>\n
Q: What is the chance of rain over the July Fourth weekend?
\nA: The chance of rain is between 30% and 60% most days, rising to 70% on Saturday.
\nQ: Is there a potential for flooding?
\nA: Yes, there is a high potential for flooding, according to the National Weather Service\u2019s Miami office.
\nQ: What is the status of the tropical system?
\nA: The National Hurricane Center is watching an area of low pressure with a 20% chance of developing into a tropical system over the next seven days.
\nQ: How long will the hurricane season last?
\nA: Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Introduction to the Weather Forecast A tropical system could take shape over Florida over the next several days, forecasters said Monday afternoon. South Florida\u2019s July Fourth weekend will likely have \u201cplentiful rainfall\u201d regardless of whether the tropical system forms or not. The week will see between a 30% and 60% chance of rain most days. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16874,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-16873","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-weather"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.sun-sentinel.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/mon5-e1751281311785.png?w=1400px&strip=all&w=327&resize=327,255&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16873"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16873"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16873\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16875,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16873\/revisions\/16875"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/citystuff.com\/miami\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}