Introduction to the Weather Situation
An area of low pressure that could develop over or near Florida will bring rainy, stormy weather to South Florida through this weekend, forecasters say.
That potential system could form from an area of low pressure currently sitting near South Florida and the southwestern Bahamas. As of Thursday afternoon, it was given a 10% chance of developing in the next two to seven days. It is forecast to move northwest across Florida and then over the Gulf.
With or without development, South Florida can expect to feel some of the effects.
Expected Weather Conditions
“Regardless of if it develops or not, the main threat will be heavy rainfall and the potential of localized flooding,” said Sammy Hadi, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service Miami.
Forecasters are predicting increased rain and thunderstorm chances each day through this weekend, according to the National Weather Service. Instead of prolonged, heavy rain, South Floridians can expect sporadic, heavy showers and thunderstorms every afternoon and evening starting Thursday through Sunday, with the more eastern areas of the region at the greatest risk. There is also a slight risk of excessive rainfall across South Florida for Thursday, Friday and Saturday, which could cause localized flooding in urban areas.
East coast metro areas will likely see about 2-3 inches of rain through Sunday morning, with a maximum of 4-6 inches possible.
Beach and Marine Conditions
Beaches continue to be windy with high waves in the wake of Imelda, and hazardous marine and beach conditions remain heading into the weekend. All South Florida beaches have a high risk of rip currents through Saturday, and a high surf advisory is in effect for Palm Beach County beaches through Sunday morning.
A man walks in a passing rain shower in Tamarac on Thursday, Oct. 2, 2025. (Carline Jean/South Florida Sun Sentinel)
Monitoring Other Disturbances
Meanwhile, a new system could emerge over the eastern Atlantic in the next few days. Forecasters are watching for a tropical wave that is expected to move off the coast of Africa and could interact with another disturbance in the eastern Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center said.
Forecasters are monitoring two disturbances in the Atlantic as Imelda weakens into a post-tropical cyclone. (Courtesy/National Hurricane Center)
The “combined feature” could develop some as it moves west-northwest. It has a 20% chance of developing in the next week as of Thursday.
Expert Insights
“We’re going to have to watch the western Caribbean and southern Gulf,” AccuWeather’s hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said. “The ocean heat content … is exceptionally high in the Gulf and western Caribbean.
“If you get a storm in there … we could be dealing with rapid intensification. There’s so much energy that’s in the ocean that has been untapped” due to much inactivity this Atlantic hurricane season.
Hurricane Season Update
By the end of September, the U.S. usually has at least one hurricane landfall, if not several. Not so in 2025. Four hurricanes have formed so far in the Atlantic season, and none has hit the U.S.
By early Thursday, Hurricane Imelda had weakened into a post-tropical cyclone and its core was east of Bermuda. It remains a “large and powerful system,” but will continue to weaken gradually over the next few days as it moves across the central Atlantic.
Both Imelda and the now-dissipated Hurricane Humberto brought dangerous beach and boating conditions to Florida’s east coast and much of the U.S. East Coast this week.
Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
Conclusion
In conclusion, South Florida is expected to experience wet and stormy weather through the weekend due to a potential tropical system developing near or over the state. Residents can expect heavy rainfall, localized flooding, and hazardous marine and beach conditions. It is essential to stay informed about the latest weather updates and take necessary precautions to ensure safety.
FAQs
Q: What is the chance of the tropical system developing near Florida?
A: As of Thursday afternoon, the system has a 10% chance of developing in the next two to seven days.
Q: What are the expected weather conditions for South Florida?
A: South Floridians can expect sporadic, heavy showers and thunderstorms every afternoon and evening starting Thursday through Sunday, with a slight risk of excessive rainfall and localized flooding.
Q: Are there any other disturbances being monitored in the Atlantic?
A: Yes, forecasters are watching a tropical wave that is expected to move off the coast of Africa and could interact with another disturbance in the eastern Atlantic.
Q: What is the current status of Hurricane Imelda?
A: Hurricane Imelda has weakened into a post-tropical cyclone and is expected to continue weakening gradually over the next few days as it moves across the central Atlantic.
Q: How long does hurricane season last?
A: Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
Originally Published: October 2, 2025 at 11:41 AM EDT
