Odds of Tropical Development Rise for System in Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, which has a growing chance of developing into a tropical depression later this week. As of Sunday afternoon, the system had a 20% chance of developing within the next 48 hours and a 70% chance of development over the next seven days.

Current Weather Conditions

The tropical wave, currently located in the eastern Atlantic, is showing signs of organization and strengthening. According to forecasters, the system’s chances of development are increasing, prompting close monitoring of its progress.

Recent Hurricane Activity

So far in 2025, there have been six named storms, with the next named storm expected to be Gabrielle. The current hurricane season has seen a moderate level of activity, with forecasters predicting a potentially busy few weeks ahead.

Forecast Updates

AccuWeather has updated its forecast, predicting 13 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes. This revised forecast is slightly lower than the previous prediction of 13 to 18 named storms and seven to 10 hurricanes, issued in March. The estimated range of storms with direct impacts to the U.S. remains unchanged, at three to six.

Hurricane Season Peak

While the peak of hurricane season has passed, AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert, Alex DaSilva, cautions against complacency. He points to hurricanes Helene and Milton, both of which developed after the peak of hurricane season and made landfall in Florida, as examples of the ongoing threat.

Forecasters watching for development from a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic say it could become a tropical depression later this week.

It has a 20% chance of developing in the next 48 hours, as of Sunday afternoon, and a 70% chance of in the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

So far in 2025, there have been six named storms. The next named storm would be Gabrielle.

AccuWeather is now predicting 13 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes, according to an update Thursday. Its previous forecast, issued in March, predicted 13 to 18 named storms and seven to 10 hurricanes.

The estimated range of storms with direct impacts to the U.S. remains the same, however, at three to six.

AccuWeather is still forecasting three to five major hurricanes this season. Alex DaSilva, the company’s lead hurricane expert, emphasized that people should not let their guards down, pointing to hurricanes Helene and Milton, both of which developed after the peak of hurricane season and made landfall in Florida.

Conclusion

The increasing odds of tropical development in the Atlantic serve as a reminder to remain vigilant and prepared for potential storms. With the hurricane season still active, it is essential to stay informed and follow the latest forecasts and updates from trusted weather sources.

FAQs

• Q: What are the chances of the tropical wave developing into a tropical depression?
  • A: The system has a 20% chance of developing within the next 48 hours and a 70% chance of development over the next seven days.
• Q: How many named storms have there been so far in 2025?
  • A: There have been six named storms, with the next named storm expected to be Gabrielle.
• Q: What is AccuWeather’s updated forecast for the hurricane season?
  • A: AccuWeather predicts 13 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes, with three to six storms having direct impacts to the U.S.
• Q: Should people let their guard down after the peak of hurricane season?
  • A: No, as hurricanes can still develop and make landfall after the peak of the season, as seen with hurricanes Helene and Milton.