Hurricane Erin: A Threat to the U.S. East Coast

Introduction to Hurricane Erin

Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to intensify into a hurricane in the next 36 hours as it tracks just north of the Caribbean, then turn to the north before brushing the U.S. east coast.
By later this weekend, Erin is forecast to be a major Category 3 hurricane with maximum winds between 115 and 125 mph.
Long-range forecast models have become more confident that Erin will turn to the north after skirting Puerto Rico, but there are likely to be some impacts on the U.S. coast. The timing of the northerly turn and intensity of the storm will determine how much impact is felt. Any impacts will likely be early next week.

Forecast Track and Models

Understanding the Forecast

The so-called “spaghetti models,” which show the tracks forecast by various weather prediction models, show the storm turning north before reaching the U.S.
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Forecast models, known as the "spaghetti models," are in strong agreement that Tropical Storm Erin will turn north as a major Category 3 hurricane before the U.S. east coast.
Here’s the latest forecast track:

Originally Published: August 14, 2025 at 8:27 AM EDT

Potential Impacts on the U.S. Coast

Timing and Intensity

The potential impacts of Hurricane Erin on the U.S. coast will depend on the timing of its northerly turn and its intensity at that time. If the storm turns north earlier, it may have less impact on the coast, but if it turns later, the impacts could be more significant.

Conclusion

Hurricane Erin is a storm that warrants attention, especially for those living on the U.S. east coast. While forecast models predict the storm will turn north before making landfall, there is still the potential for significant impacts, including strong winds and heavy rainfall. It is essential to monitor the latest forecast updates and follow any instructions from local authorities.

FAQs

What is the current forecast for Hurricane Erin?

Hurricane Erin is forecast to intensify into a major Category 3 hurricane with maximum winds between 115 and 125 mph.

When is the storm expected to turn north?

The storm is expected to turn north after skirting Puerto Rico, with the exact timing determining the potential impacts on the U.S. coast.

What are the potential impacts on the U.S. coast?

The potential impacts include strong winds and heavy rainfall, with the severity depending on the timing and intensity of the storm.

Where can I find the latest forecast updates?

You can find the latest forecast updates from trusted weather sources, such as the National Hurricane Center or local news outlets.