Rain to Drench South Florida as Potential Gulf System Nears: Forecasters
Introduction to the Weather Conditions
South Florida will see a soggy start to its week due to a potential tropical system that is forecast to form in the Gulf and then move across Florida, the National Weather Service said Sunday.
Expected Rainfall
Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across South Florida Sunday through Tuesday, with a “1 in 10 chance of localized [rain totals of] 6-8 inches or more,” forecasters said.
Timing and Intensity of the Rain
Rain will intensify Sunday into early Monday, with the heaviest rainfall expected from Monday afternoon through late Monday. The heavy rain will increase the potential for flooding in “flood prone or low-lying areas along the East Coast metro and areas with poor drainage,” the weather service advisory stated.
High-End Rainfall Estimates
High-end rainfall estimates for South Florida through Wednesday morning. (NWS)
Potential Tropical System
In its 8 a.m. advisory, National Hurricane Center said it expects a low-pressure area to form near the southeastern U.S. coast and then move west across Florida into the northeastern Gulf.
Naming the Storm
If it were to become a named storm, it would be Tropical Storm Dexter.
Chance of Development
It has a 20% chance to develop in the next seven days, the hurricane center said Sunday morning.
Hurricane Season Outlook
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had initially forecast an expected 13 to 19 named storms for the year, of which 6-10 would grow into hurricanes. Three to five of those would develop into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.
Updated Forecast
Researchers out of Colorado State University last week updated their forecast saying they expect the season to be slightly less busy than what they had predicted earlier this year.
Duration of Hurricane Season
Hurricane season runs June 1-Nov. 30.
Publication Details
Originally Published: July 13, 2025 at 8:18 AM EDT
Conclusion
In conclusion, South Florida is preparing for a wet week ahead as a potential tropical system is forecast to form in the Gulf and move across the state. Residents are advised to be aware of the potential for flooding and to stay updated with the latest forecasts.
FAQs
Q: How much rainfall is expected in South Florida?
A: Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across South Florida Sunday through Tuesday, with a “1 in 10 chance of localized [rain totals of] 6-8 inches or more.”
Q: What is the potential for flooding?
A: The heavy rain will increase the potential for flooding in “flood prone or low-lying areas along the East Coast metro and areas with poor drainage.”
Q: What is the name of the potential storm?
A: If it were to become a named storm, it would be Tropical Storm Dexter.
Q: What are the chances of the storm developing?
A: It has a 20% chance to develop in the next seven days, according to the hurricane center.
