Disturbance Over the East Coast of Belize and Yucatan
Introduction to the Disturbance
A disturbance arose on Thursday night over the east coast of Belize and the Yucatan peninsula, though it was given a low chance of development.
The National Hurricane Center described it at 8 p.m. on Thursday as an area of showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean sea and adjacent land areas which was expected to move west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche sometime Saturday.
Forecast and Development Chances
A low pressure area could form after that time if the system remains over water, but the chance of development over the next 48 hours was listed as 10% with the seven-day likelihood at 20%. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the system for any signs of development.
The 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season got its first named storm of the year on Tuesday, when Tropical Storm Andrea formed and quickly dissipated in the Central Atlantic Ocean. In most years, the Atlantic hurricane season has generated at least one storm by this time, more than three weeks into hurricane season, and Andrea represented the latest since 2014 that tropical activity hasn’t bred a tracked system to start a season. That year, the first tropical depression didn’t form until June 30.
Predictions for the Hurricane Season
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Between 2015 to 2024, though, the first tracked system had already formed by June 1, the first official day of hurricane season. Despite the late start, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Expected Storm Activity
The agency predicts 13 to 19 named storms, of which 6-10 will become hurricanes. Three to five of those would grow into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher. Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30. The Orlando Sentinel’s Richard Tribou contributed to this report.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has had a slow start, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts an above-normal season with a significant number of named storms and hurricanes. It is essential for residents in hurricane-prone areas to be prepared and stay informed about the latest developments.
FAQs
What is the current disturbance over the east coast of Belize and Yucatan?
The current disturbance is an area of showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean sea and adjacent land areas, which is expected to move west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche sometime Saturday.
What are the chances of development for the disturbance?
The chance of development over the next 48 hours is listed as 10% with the seven-day likelihood at 20%.
What is the prediction for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts an above-normal season with 13 to 19 named storms, of which 6-10 will become hurricanes.
How long does hurricane season run?
Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
Originally Published: June 27, 2025 at 12:18 AM EDT
