Introduction to the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The upcoming 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be “above average,” with more named storms, more hurricanes and more major hurricanes likely, experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Thursday.

Forecast Details

Forecasters are calling for:
— Thirteen to 19 named storms. (The average is 14.)
— Six to 10 hurricanes. (The average is seven.)
— Three to five major hurricanes, meaning Category 3 or above. (The average is three.)

Factors Influencing the Forecast

Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service, said that there’s a 60% chance of an above-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. Graham said that three factors informed the forecast: Warm sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic Basin, a lack of wind shear over the region, and a forecast for strong African monsoons, which can roll off the continent and fuel tropical storms once over the Atlantic.

Preparation and Concerns

Graham also encouraged people to take hurricanes seriously. “There’s no such thing as just a Cat 1, just a Cat 2 storm,” Graham said. “Even a small storm is a danger.” Now is a good time to prepare for hurricane season, he said. “There are no lines today.”

If the 2025 season reaches the higher end of NOAA’s forecast, it will be on par with last year’s season, which saw 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes.

Season Duration

Hurricane season officially begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

Original Publication

Originally Published: May 22, 2025 at 12:19 PM EDT

Conclusion

Given the forecast for an above-average hurricane season, it is crucial for individuals to take necessary precautions and stay informed. Understanding the factors that contribute to hurricane formation and the potential impacts of these storms can help communities prepare and mitigate risks.

FAQs

• Q: What is the predicted number of named storms for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
  • A: Thirteen to 19 named storms.
• Q: What factors are contributing to the forecast of an above-average season?
  • A: Warm sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic Basin, a lack of wind shear over the region, and a forecast for strong African monsoons.
• Q: When does the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially start and end?
  • A: It begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.
• Q: Why is it important to take all hurricanes seriously?
  • A: Because even smaller storms can pose significant dangers and should not be underestimated.