Introduction to the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is anticipated to be less active than the previous year, which was one of the most destructive on record. However, it is expected to be at or above historical averages from 1990 to 2020. AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a range of 13 to 18 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes and three to five strengthening into major hurricanes.
Factors Influencing the Hurricane Season
Several factors are expected to influence the coming season, including the likely transition from La Niña to a neutral weather pattern. La Niñas historically cause lower-than-average wind shear over the area in the Atlantic, thus allowing storms to form more easily. Additionally, warm water fuels hurricanes, and although the water in the Atlantic is not as hot as it was last year, it is still well above average for this time period.
Impact of Water Temperatures
Water temperatures around the globe have been increasing over the past 50 years, largely due to the burning of fossil fuels ramping up the greenhouse effect, resulting in oceans storing more heat. AccuWeather senior meteorologist and climate expert Brett Anderson noted that in just the past five years, water temperatures in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf have warmed to levels never seen before in recorded history. This extra energy can supercharge tropical storms and hurricanes.
Expected Storm Activity
Based on 12 previous years that had similar atmospheric qualities, AccuWeather found landfall clusters in areas of the Gulf Coast in Texas, Louisiana, and Florida, and on the east coast in North Carolina. There are a few "what ifs" that could impact the season, including the neutral phase of El Niño/La Niña, which can trigger more tropical waves moving off of Africa. These waves can develop into tropical storms that cross the Atlantic, but if they are exceptionally strong, they can kick up more Saharan dust and dry air over the Atlantic, which can kill hurricanes.
Potential Landfalls and Seasonal Outlook
Three to six landfalls within the U.S. are likely, according to AccuWeather’s forecast. The position of the Bermuda High, a seasonal high-pressure system, will also play a role in steering storms. If it shifts east, storms can arc around it and head north before reaching the U.S. If it drifts west, storms can travel along its southern edge and impact the east coast or shoot into the Gulf. Hurricane season starts June 1 and runs through the end of November.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be less active than the previous year but still at or above historical averages. With 13 to 18 named storms predicted, it is essential for residents in potential impact zones to be prepared and stay informed about the latest forecast updates.
FAQs
Q: What is the predicted number of named storms for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
A: AccuWeather forecasters are predicting 13 to 18 named storms.
Q: How many hurricanes are expected to form during the season?
A: Seven to 10 named storms are expected to become hurricanes.
Q: What factors are influencing the hurricane season?
A: The transition from La Niña to a neutral weather pattern and warm water temperatures are expected to influence the season.
Q: When does the hurricane season start and end?
A: The hurricane season starts on June 1 and runs through the end of November.
