Introduction to the Atlantic Forecast
The Atlantic forecast is indicating a potential new system that is expected to strengthen. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are closely monitoring a disturbance off Africa that is anticipated to gain strength as it moves across the Atlantic.
Current Status of the Disturbance
As of 8 p.m. Sunday, the disturbance had a 60% chance of developing in the next two days and a 70% chance in the next seven days. It is expected to move west-northwest or northwest and could become at least a tropical depression this week, according to forecasters.
Recent Tropical Activity
Tropical Storm Jerry dissipated into a trough Saturday after dumping rain on the Caribbean’s northern Leeward Islands. This development has shifted the focus towards the new disturbance off Africa.
Forecast and Conditions
“Sharp dips in the jet stream [are creating] hostile conditions across the Gulf, Florida, and the Bahamas, which will keep us free from tropical threats for at least the next week or two,” said Fox Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross on his Hurricane Intel blog. This suggests that the current conditions are not favorable for tropical threats in certain areas.
Naming and Hurricane Season
The next named storm would be Lorenzo. So far, in the Atlantic season, four hurricanes have formed, and none has hit the U.S. Of the 11 named Atlantic storms, only Tropical Storm Chantal has made a U.S. landfall. Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
Visuals and Updates
Originally Published: October 3, 2025 at 7:45 AM EDT
Conclusion
The Atlantic forecast is indicating a potential new system that is expected to strengthen. With a disturbance off Africa gaining strength and moving across the Atlantic, it is crucial to monitor the situation closely. The current conditions, recent tropical activity, and forecast all play a role in understanding the potential impact of this new system.
FAQs
- Q: What is the current status of the disturbance off Africa?
A: The disturbance has a 60% chance of developing in the next two days and a 70% chance in the next seven days. - Q: What is the expected movement of the disturbance?
A: It is expected to move west-northwest or northwest and could become at least a tropical depression this week. - Q: What are the current conditions like in the Gulf, Florida, and the Bahamas?
A: Sharp dips in the jet stream are creating hostile conditions, which will keep these areas free from tropical threats for at least the next week or two. - Q: What is the next named storm?
A: The next named storm would be Lorenzo. - Q: How many hurricanes have formed in the Atlantic season so far?
A: Four hurricanes have formed so far, and none has hit the U.S.
