Introduction to Tropical Storm Jerry
Tropical Storm Jerry formed in the tropical Atlantic on Tuesday morning and is moving swiftly toward the Caribbean, according to the National Hurricane Center.
As of 11 a.m. Tuesday, it had wind speeds of 45 mph and was located roughly 1,315 miles east of the Caribbean, traveling west at 24 mph.
Forecasts indicate the storm will strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday night before traveling just to the north of the Caribbean.
Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the outer Caribbean islands by Thursday, and could cause dangerous surf conditions.
Storm Track and Potential Impact
“While many options remain possible with its future track, the most likely track appears to turn the future storm to the north as it passes by the Caribbean islands,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. “This would keep it east of the U.S. mainland.”
Some computer models indicate the system “will track over or near the islands east of Puerto Rico,” Fox Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross wrote in his Hurricane Intel blog.
The system could once again create hazardous rip currents and beach conditions from Florida up the U.S. East Coast, according to AccuWeather, similar to the paths recently taken by Hurricanes Humberto and Imelda.
Atlantic Hurricane Season Overview
By the end of September, the U.S. usually has at least one hurricane landfall, if not several. Not so in 2025. Four hurricanes have formed so far in the Atlantic season, and none has hit the U.S.
NHC forecasters also are monitoring a trough of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean. It is expected to move across Mexico’s Yucatan peninsula near the southwestern Gulf. It has a 10% chance of development over the next two to seven days.
Tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin as of 11 a.m. on Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025. (Courtesy NHC)
Coastal Flood Advisory
Meanwhile, a coastal flood advisory is in effect for Florida’s Atlantic coast through 8 p.m. Wednesday due to king tides, according to the National Weather Service in Miami.
Mild to moderate flooding is expected in South Florida around high tides, forecasters said.
The threat risk for coastal flooding in South Florida for Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025 . (NWS/Courtesy)
Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Tropical Storm Jerry is a significant weather event that requires attention and preparation. With its potential to strengthen into a hurricane and impact the Caribbean and U.S. East Coast, it is essential to stay informed and follow the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center and other reliable sources.
FAQs
Q: What is the current status of Tropical Storm Jerry?
A: As of 11 a.m. Tuesday, Tropical Storm Jerry had wind speeds of 45 mph and was located roughly 1,315 miles east of the Caribbean, traveling west at 24 mph.
Q: What is the predicted track of the storm?
A: Forecasts indicate the storm will strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday night before traveling just to the north of the Caribbean.
Q: Are there any other weather systems being monitored in the Atlantic?
A: Yes, NHC forecasters are also monitoring a trough of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean, which has a 10% chance of development over the next two to seven days.
Q: Is there a coastal flood advisory in effect?
A: Yes, a coastal flood advisory is in effect for Florida’s Atlantic coast through 8 p.m. Wednesday due to king tides.
Originally Published: October 3, 2025 at 10:21 AM EDT
