Thursday, October 2, 2025

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast

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Introduction to Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane late this weekend as it turns to the north, likely steering well clear of land, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Long-range tracking models show that Gabrielle will likely remain far north of the Caribbean and even east of Bermuda, although forecasters advised the island to remain vigilant for possible changes to the storm’s forecast track.
Gabrielle may reach Category 2 strength by early next week as it tracks through the open Atlantic.

Latest Forecast Track

The map below shows the latest forecast track:

The various computer models that show the potential tracks, known as the spaghetti models, consistently show the turn to the north over the next 10 days.

Forecast Models and Tracking

Forecast models, known as the "spaghetti models" for Tropical Storm Gabrielle show a turn to the north and then northeast well clear of land. (Tomer Berg/polarwx.com)
These models are crucial for understanding the potential path and intensity of the storm, helping both forecasters and the public prepare for any potential impacts.

Potential Impacts and Preparations

While the current forecast suggests that Gabrielle will remain far from land, it’s essential for areas that could potentially be affected to remain vigilant and follow updates from the National Hurricane Center. Preparations should be made in case the storm’s track changes, including having a plan for evacuation if necessary and stocking up on supplies.

Conclusion

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is a significant weather event that requires close monitoring. With the potential to strengthen into a hurricane, it’s crucial for all relevant areas to be prepared and for the public to stay informed about the latest forecast tracks and potential impacts.

FAQs

What is the current forecast for Tropical Storm Gabrielle?

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane late this weekend and turn to the north, likely steering well clear of land.

Where is Gabrielle expected to track?

Gabrielle is expected to remain far north of the Caribbean and even east of Bermuda, though the island is advised to remain vigilant for possible changes to the storm’s forecast track.

What are the "spaghetti models"?

The "spaghetti models" refer to the various computer models that show the potential tracks of a storm. These models are used to predict the path and intensity of storms like Tropical Storm Gabrielle.

Originally Published

Originally Published: September 19, 2025 at 7:14 AM EDT

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