Introduction to Tropical Storm Erin
Tropical Storm Erin formed in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday and is forecast to track west in the direction of the U.S. coast over the next 7 to 10 days.
By this weekend as it approaches the Caribbean, Erin is forecast to be a major hurricane with winds near 115 mph.
Forecast Track and Potential Impact
The National Hurricane Center’s forecast cone extends out to Saturday. Beyond that, Erin may be pushed into a turn to the north — but where and when that happens will determine its threat to Florida or other parts of the eastern seaboard.
The so-called “spaghetti models,” which show the tracks forecast by various weather prediction models, show the storm turning north before reaching the U.S., but some models take Erin closer to the coast.
Latest Forecast Details
Here’s the latest forecast track:
Forecast track models for a tropical system forecast to become Tropical Storm or Hurricane Erin this week. (NOAA)
Understanding the Forecast Models
The “spaghetti models” are a tool used by meteorologists to predict the potential paths of tropical storms and hurricanes. These models take into account various atmospheric and oceanic conditions to forecast the future track of a storm. While they are useful for predicting potential impacts, it’s essential to note that the actual track of the storm can differ from the forecast models.
Timeline and Updates
Originally Published: August 11, 2025 at 3:35 AM EDT
The National Hurricane Center will continue to update the forecast track of Tropical Storm Erin as more data becomes available. It’s crucial to stay informed about the latest developments and follow evacuation orders if necessary.
Conclusion
Tropical Storm Erin has the potential to become a major hurricane and impact the U.S. coast. While the forecast track is still uncertain, it’s essential to stay informed and prepared for any potential impacts. The National Hurricane Center will continue to provide updates, and residents in the potential impact areas should follow evacuation orders and take necessary precautions.
FAQs
Q: Where is Tropical Storm Erin located?
A: Tropical Storm Erin is currently located in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Q: What is the forecast track of Tropical Storm Erin?
A: The forecast track of Tropical Storm Erin shows the storm moving west towards the U.S. coast, with a potential turn to the north beyond Saturday.
Q: What are the “spaghetti models”?
A: The “spaghetti models” are a tool used by meteorologists to predict the potential paths of tropical storms and hurricanes.
Q: How often will the National Hurricane Center update the forecast track?
A: The National Hurricane Center will continue to update the forecast track of Tropical Storm Erin as more data becomes available.
