Introduction to the Hurricane Season
The National Hurricane Center has increased the likelihood of the first system of the year forming into a tropical depression or storm. As of 8 a.m. Monday, the NHC stated that a low-pressure system in the Atlantic, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda, has become more organized.
Current System Status
The system of showers and thunderstorms in the central subtropical Atlantic has shown signs of development, with recent satellite-derived wind data indicating a well-defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 30-35 mph. According to forecasters, "While environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, only a small increase in organization and persistence of the current shower and thunderstorm activity is likely to result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or storm, as soon as later today."
Development Probability
The NHC has given the system a 70% chance of development within the next 48 hours. If it does develop into a named system, it could become Tropical Storm Andrea. However, forecasters predict that it will be short-lived due to less favorable environmental conditions by Tuesday.
System Movement and Expected Outcome
The system is currently moving northeast at 5-10 mph and will remain over the open central Atlantic. By Tuesday, it is expected to encounter conditions that will end its opportunity for further development.
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The agency forecasts 13 to 19 named storms, with 6-10 becoming hurricanes, and 3-5 growing into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher. Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
While no threat to land, the National Hurricane Center upped the odds that a low-pressure system in the Atlantic could develop into the season’s first tropical depression or storm.
As of 8 a.m. Monday, the NHC in its tropical outlook said the system of showers and thunderstorms located about 600 miles east of Bermuda in the central subtropical Atlantic had become more organized.
“Recent satellite-derived wind data also indicates the system has a well-defined surface circulation with maximum sustained winds of 30-35 mph,” forecasters said. “While environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, only a small increase in organization and persistence of the current shower and thunderstorm activity is likely to result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or storm, as soon as later today.”
For now, the NHC gives it a 70% chance to develop in the next 48 hours.
If it does spin up into a named system, it could become Tropical Storm Andrea. But if it does, the NHC says it will be short-lived.
“By Tuesday, this system is expected to encounter less favorable environmental conditions, ending its opportunity for further development,” forecasters said.
The system is headed to the northeast at 5-10 mph and will remain over the open central Atlantic.
🧵 JUST IN: NOAA forecasters predict an above-normal 2025 Atlantic #HurricaneSeason
See our news release at: https://t.co/zYSAG6B4pH@NWSCPC @NWS #HurricaneOutlook #WeatherReadyNation
— NOAA (@NOAA) May 22, 2025
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The agency predicts 13 to 19 named storms, of which 6-10 will become hurricanes. Three to five of those would grow into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.
Hurricane season runs from June 1-Nov. 30.
Originally Published: June 23, 2025 at 7:30 AM EDT
Conclusion
The National Hurricane Center has increased the odds of the first system of the year forming into a tropical depression or storm. The system, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda, has a 70% chance of development within the next 48 hours. However, it is expected to be short-lived due to less favorable environmental conditions. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal, with 13 to 19 named storms forecasted.
FAQs
- Q: What are the chances of the system developing into a tropical depression or storm?
A: The National Hurricane Center gives it a 70% chance of development within the next 48 hours. - Q: What is the predicted outcome of the system?
A: The system is expected to be short-lived due to less favorable environmental conditions by Tuesday. - Q: What is the prediction for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
A: The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal, with 13 to 19 named storms forecasted. - Q: When does the hurricane season run?
A: Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
