Expect a Rainy, Hot South Florida Summer Ahead

Introduction to the Forecast

This year’s rainy season in South Florida likely will be wetter and hotter than normal — and you can expect downpours to start happening more often next month, the National Weather Service said Wednesday.
The weather service released its annual outlook for the wet season, which runs from May 15 to Oct. 15. The outlook balances trends, models and histories of wet seasons with similar characteristics.

Understanding the Predictions

The weather service has more confidence in the heat prediction than the rain prediction, however.
The heat prediction is based on a long-term trend that has been occurring since the 1980s, where summers in South Florida have been growing hotter and hotter, in general.

Temperature Projections

NWS meteorologist Robert Molleda said that “temperatures are likely to be above normal, at least a little bit above normal,” he said.
The rain prediction is less pronounced. The 30-year trend has been wetter than normal summers, Molleda said.

Historical Context and Rain Predictions

Additionally, a comparison of past years with similar conditions to 2025 indicates that those years had slightly wetter conditions and were slightly cooler than normal. The warming trend, though, should override any cooling, he said.
South Florida has been in extreme drought for months.

Immediate and Long-Term Outlook

Molleda said the region may see some rain in the coming week, but beyond that, the dry season could linger into June. By October, though, the rain tallies are likely to be slightly higher than an average year.

Conclusion

In conclusion, South Florida is expected to experience a hotter and wetter summer than usual. While there is more confidence in the temperature predictions, the trend suggests that the region will see more rain than average by the end of the wet season. Residents should prepare for more frequent downpours and hotter temperatures, especially as the season progresses.

FAQs

• Q: When is the wet season in South Florida?
  • A: The wet season in South Florida runs from May 15 to Oct. 15.
• Q: What can we expect from this year’s wet season?
  • A: This year’s wet season is likely to be wetter and hotter than normal.
• Q: Is South Florida currently experiencing drought conditions?
  • A: Yes, South Florida has been in extreme drought for months.
• Q: When can we expect the rain to start?
  • A: The region may see some rain in the coming week, but significant rain is expected to start happening more often next month.
• Q: How confident is the National Weather Service in its predictions?
  • A: The National Weather Service has more confidence in its heat prediction than its rain prediction.