Christmas Week Storm Forecast
Introduction to the Storm
A very low chance of a tornado is included in the forecast for parts of Los Angeles County this week, though it is not the primary concern, according to a National Weather Service meteorologist.
“There is a tornado risk — it’s not what we’re primarily concerned about,” National Weather Service meteorologist Lisa Phillips said.
Expected Weather Conditions
Forecasters are expecting gusty, strong winds along with a chance of thunderstorms, with increased chances beginning Wednesday and continuing into Christmas Day on Thursday, Phillips said. The greater concern remains the several inches of rain expected to fall across Southern California throughout the week.
Tornado Risk Assessment
If a tornado does form, it would likely be small and short-lived, Phillips said.
“Generally, when we get them here, they’re super short-lived,” she said. “They can have impacts to weaker structures like trailers or lightweight items, but could take down some trees.”
Cause of Tornado Risk
Phillips said the low tornado risk is tied to how winds change with height during the storm system.
“When winds are turning with height, any thunderstorm that develops within that wind can start spinning and produce it,” she said.
Probability of Tornadoes
The tornado probability is about 2%, Phillips said.
“We’re definitely not expecting tornadoes everywhere,” she said. “There is the potential for one or two to form.”
Conclusion
In conclusion, while there is a low risk of tornadoes in the forecast for parts of Los Angeles County during Christmas week, the primary concern remains the strong winds and several inches of rain expected. Residents should be prepared for gusty conditions and potential thunderstorms, but the likelihood of a significant tornado event is low.
FAQs
What is the primary concern for the Christmas week storm?
The primary concern is the strong winds and several inches of rain expected to fall across Southern California throughout the week.
How likely is a tornado to occur?
The tornado probability is about 2%, with the potential for one or two small and short-lived tornadoes to form.
What can residents expect if a tornado does form?
If a tornado does form, it would likely be small and short-lived, potentially impacting weaker structures like trailers or lightweight items, and could take down some trees.
