Introduction to the 2025 Hurricane Season
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which starts in June. According to the forecast, there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
Forecast Details
The NOAA is predicting 13-19 named storms during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Out of these, 6-10 storms are expected to become hurricanes, and 3-5 are expected to become major hurricanes, which are category 3 or above. A storm becomes a hurricane when its winds reach 74 mph or higher, and storms are named if they have winds of 39 MPH or more.
Factors Influencing the Forecast
The forecast is influenced by several factors, including high activity in the Atlantic Basin, high heat content in the ocean, and lower trade winds. Additionally, overall warmer ocean temperatures, forecasts for weak wind shear, and a more active West African Monsoon are also expected to contribute to an above-normal season.
Preparation is Key
The National Weather Service (NWS) Director, Ken Graham, emphasized the importance of preparation, stating that this year’s outlook is a call to action. He encouraged people to take proactive steps to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure they are ready before a storm threatens. Graham also highlighted the advancements in weather monitoring systems, saying, "In my 30 years at the National Weather Service, we’ve never had more advanced models and warning systems in place to monitor the weather."
Improvements to Forecast Systems
NOAA has announced several improvements to its forecast systems, including a 5% improvement in tracking and intensity forecasting. The administration is also rolling out a new "experimental" scanning radar for its hurricane hunter aircraft. These improvements are expected to provide earlier and more accurate forecasts for the season.
Conclusion
The 2025 hurricane season is expected to be above-normal, with a higher than average number of named storms and hurricanes. It is essential for people to be prepared and take proactive steps to ensure their safety. With advancements in weather monitoring systems and improvements to forecast systems, NOAA is well-equipped to provide early and accurate warnings. However, it is crucial for individuals to take responsibility for their own preparedness and safety during the hurricane season.
