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The Dallas Mavericks hope to land a quality pick, perhaps even a top-four selection, in Monday night’s draft lottery.
They’re slotted at No. 11, and there’s a high probability that’s where they’ll land when the NBA draws ping-pong balls to determine the top 14 picks. The franchise has never moved up in the order in 16 previous trips to the draft lottery.
The Mavericks own one pick in the June 25 draft, with the Utah Jazz having received Dallas’ 2025 second-round pick in the Luka Doncic-Anthony Davis trade.
Here’s a look at Dallas’ lottery history and what to watch for Monday.
Mavericks
How the Mavericks got here
The Mavericks finished the 2024-25 season tied with the Chicago Bulls for the 10th-worst record in basketball at 39-43. A random drawing gave Dallas the tiebreaker and slight edge in the odds, but the two teams essentially split their lottery chances. The 11th and 12th spots remain the most likely.
Mavericks legend Rolando Blackman will represent the team onstage during ESPN’s live broadcast of the results, while another member of the organization, who has not yet been announced, will be behind the scenes to watch the ping-pong ball draw earlier in the evening.
How to watch
Date: Monday, May 12
Time: 6 p.m.
TV: ESPN
How does it work?
Fourteen ping-pong balls, numbered 1-14, are placed in a hopper, with the potential for 1,001 different four-ball draws. Each team is assigned a certain number of combinations based on their final record.
At least three four-number combinations will be drawn, slotting teams with picks Nos. 1-3 in this year’s draft.
In the event that a team has one of its combinations drawn more than once, the balls are drawn again until three different teams have been determined.
What are the Mavericks’ lottery odds?
Here’s a look at the Mavericks’ probability of landing at each position:
| Pick number | Percentage |
|---|---|
| 1 | 1.8% |
| 2 | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.2% |
| 4 | 2.5% |
| 5 | 0% |
| 6 | 0% |
| 7 | 0% |
| 8 | 0% |
| 9 | 0% |
| 10 | 0% |
| 11 | 77.6% |
| 12 | 13.5% |
Related:Duke star Cooper Flagg, projected No. 1 overall pick, declares for NBA draft
What are each team’s lottery odds?
Here’s where the Mavericks’ odds rank in the race for the No. 1 pick, according to Tankathon.com.
| Projected order | Team | Record | Win percentage | No. 1 pick probability | Projected order probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah Jazz | 17-65 | .207 | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| 2 | Washington Wizards | 18-64 | .220 | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 19-63 | .232 | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| 4 | New Orleans Pelicans | 21-61 | .256 | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| 5 | Philadelphia 76ers | 24-58 | .293 | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| 6 | Brooklyn Nets | 26-56 | .317 | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| 7 | Toronto Raptors | 30-52 | .366 | 7.5% | 19.7% |
| 8 | San Antonio Spurs | 34-48 | .415 | 6.0% | 34.5% |
| 9 | Phoenix Suns | 36-46 | .439 | 3.8% | 50.7% |
| 10 | Portland Trail Blazers | 36-46 | .439 | 3.7% | 63.4% |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 39-43 | .476 | 1.8% | 77.6% |
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 39-43 | .476 | 1.7% | 85.2% |
| 13 | Sacramento Kings | 40-42 | .488 | 0.8% | 92.9% |
| 14 | Atlanta Hawks | 40-42 | .488 | 0.7% | 96.6% |
What’s the Mavericks’ draft lottery history?
Luck hasn’t been entirely been on the Mavericks’ side when it comes to the NBA draft lottery, but in their most recent appearance in 2023, Dallas received the 10th pick — in line with its 10th-worst record in the NBA — rather than conveying it to New York as final payment for the original Kristaps Porzingis trade in January 2019.
Here’s a look at the history and the players Dallas has selected or traded for via the draft lottery:
2023: Dereck Lively II, from Oklahoma City in exchange for Cason Wallace
– Mavericks keep their pick, miss out on Victor Wembanyama
2019: No one
– Mavs miss out on top 5, convey selection to Atlanta to complete Doncic deal
2018: Luka Doncic, from Atlanta in exchange for Trae Young
– Doncic-Young deal may have finally turned Dallas’ luck around
2017: Dennis Smith Jr. (9)
– In Smith, Mavs hoped for a point guard of the future
2013: Kelly Olynyk (13)
– The year Dallas passed on Giannis Antetokounmpo
2000: Etan Thomas (12)
– A really, really bad year to have a bunch of picks
1998: Robert Traylor (6)
– The major risk Dallas took with Dirk Nowitzki still on the board
1996: Samaki Walker (9)
1995: Cherokee Parks (12)
1994: Jason Kidd (2)
1993: Jamal Mashburn (4)
1992: Jim Jackson (4)
1991: Doug Smith (6)
1990: No one (pick was traded)
1989: Randy White (8)
1986: Roy Tarpley (7, via Cleveland)
For more Mavericks lottery history, click here.
Flagg would have plenty of former Duke players to work with as a Maverick.
Coach K offered some insight a day after the Mavericks won the draft lottery.
Every indication is that Flagg will be a Maverick. What will his on-court presence mean for Dallas?
The Mavericks assistant general manager represented the team when it earned the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery.
Mavs fans have found multiple ways to express their disappointment with Nico Harrison.
Find more Mavericks coverage from The Dallas Morning News here.
and make it easy for teens to read and understand.Organize the content with appropriate headings and subheadings (h1, h2, h3, h4, h5, h6), Retain any existing tags from
The Dallas Mavericks hope to land a quality pick, perhaps even a top-four selection, in Monday night’s draft lottery.
They’re slotted at No. 11, and there’s a high probability that’s where they’ll land when the NBA draws ping-pong balls to determine the top 14 picks. The franchise has never moved up in the order in 16 previous trips to the draft lottery.
The Mavericks own one pick in the June 25 draft, with the Utah Jazz having received Dallas’ 2025 second-round pick in the Luka Doncic-Anthony Davis trade.
Here’s a look at Dallas’ lottery history and what to watch for Monday.
Mavericks
How the Mavericks got here
The Mavericks finished the 2024-25 season tied with the Chicago Bulls for the 10th-worst record in basketball at 39-43. A random drawing gave Dallas the tiebreaker and slight edge in the odds, but the two teams essentially split their lottery chances. The 11th and 12th spots remain the most likely.
Mavericks legend Rolando Blackman will represent the team onstage during ESPN’s live broadcast of the results, while another member of the organization, who has not yet been announced, will be behind the scenes to watch the ping-pong ball draw earlier in the evening.
How to watch
Date: Monday, May 12
Time: 6 p.m.
TV: ESPN
How does it work?
Fourteen ping-pong balls, numbered 1-14, are placed in a hopper, with the potential for 1,001 different four-ball draws. Each team is assigned a certain number of combinations based on their final record.
At least three four-number combinations will be drawn, slotting teams with picks Nos. 1-3 in this year’s draft.
In the event that a team has one of its combinations drawn more than once, the balls are drawn again until three different teams have been determined.
What are the Mavericks’ lottery odds?
Here’s a look at the Mavericks’ probability of landing at each position:
| Pick number | Percentage |
|---|---|
| 1 | 1.8% |
| 2 | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.2% |
| 4 | 2.5% |
| 5 | 0% |
| 6 | 0% |
| 7 | 0% |
| 8 | 0% |
| 9 | 0% |
| 10 | 0% |
| 11 | 77.6% |
| 12 | 13.5% |
Related:Duke star Cooper Flagg, projected No. 1 overall pick, declares for NBA draft
What are each team’s lottery odds?
Here’s where the Mavericks’ odds rank in the race for the No. 1 pick, according to Tankathon.com.
| Projected order | Team | Record | Win percentage | No. 1 pick probability | Projected order probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah Jazz | 17-65 | .207 | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| 2 | Washington Wizards | 18-64 | .220 | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 19-63 | .232 | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| 4 | New Orleans Pelicans | 21-61 | .256 | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| 5 | Philadelphia 76ers | 24-58 | .293 | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| 6 | Brooklyn Nets | 26-56 | .317 | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| 7 | Toronto Raptors | 30-52 | .366 | 7.5% | 19.7% |
| 8 | San Antonio Spurs | 34-48 | .415 | 6.0% | 34.5% |
| 9 | Phoenix Suns | 36-46 | .439 | 3.8% | 50.7% |
| 10 | Portland Trail Blazers | 36-46 | .439 | 3.7% | 63.4% |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 39-43 | .476 | 1.8% | 77.6% |
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 39-43 | .476 | 1.7% | 85.2% |
| 13 | Sacramento Kings | 40-42 | .488 | 0.8% | 92.9% |
| 14 | Atlanta Hawks | 40-42 | .488 | 0.7% | 96.6% |
What’s the Mavericks’ draft lottery history?
Luck hasn’t been entirely been on the Mavericks’ side when it comes to the NBA draft lottery, but in their most recent appearance in 2023, Dallas received the 10th pick — in line with its 10th-worst record in the NBA — rather than conveying it to New York as final payment for the original Kristaps Porzingis trade in January 2019.
Here’s a look at the history and the players Dallas has selected or traded for via the draft lottery:
2023: Dereck Lively II, from Oklahoma City in exchange for Cason Wallace
– Mavericks keep their pick, miss out on Victor Wembanyama
2019: No one
– Mavs miss out on top 5, convey selection to Atlanta to complete Doncic deal
2018: Luka Doncic, from Atlanta in exchange for Trae Young
– Doncic-Young deal may have finally turned Dallas’ luck around
2017: Dennis Smith Jr. (9)
– In Smith, Mavs hoped for a point guard of the future
2013: Kelly Olynyk (13)
– The year Dallas passed on Giannis Antetokounmpo
2000: Etan Thomas (12)
– A really, really bad year to have a bunch of picks
1998: Robert Traylor (6)
– The major risk Dallas took with Dirk Nowitzki still on the board
1996: Samaki Walker (9)
1995: Cherokee Parks (12)
1994: Jason Kidd (2)
1993: Jamal Mashburn (4)
1992: Jim Jackson (4)
1991: Doug Smith (6)
1990: No one (pick was traded)
1989: Randy White (8)
1986: Roy Tarpley (7, via Cleveland)
For more Mavericks lottery history, click here.
Flagg would have plenty of former Duke players to work with as a Maverick.
Coach K offered some insight a day after the Mavericks won the draft lottery.
Every indication is that Flagg will be a Maverick. What will his on-court presence mean for Dallas?
The Mavericks assistant general manager represented the team when it earned the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery.
Mavs fans have found multiple ways to express their disappointment with Nico Harrison.
Find more Mavericks coverage from The Dallas Morning News here.
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