Saturday, October 4, 2025

Forecast: Dry, quiet weather pattern continues

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Current Weather Conditions

The current weather conditions are mainly clear and a bit milder than normal, with comfortable humidities. The lows range from the mid to upper 50s in the coolest outlying areas to the middle 60s downtown Chicago. The winds are light and variable, with a low of 62.

The Next Few Hours

Thursday begins with some cloudiness, but the dry and quiet weather pattern that has dominated this week will continue at least another day. The Chicagoland area sits in-between an area of low pressure to the west and high pressure to the southeast, resulting in another picture-perfect late summer day.

Thursday Surface Map

The Chicagoland area is situated between an area of low pressure to the west and high pressure to the southeast, resulting in a picture-perfect late summer day.

Thursday Morning Temperatures

Dry air cools off far more efficiently, resulting in 50s away from Lake Michigan to begin the day, while the urbanization of downtown Chicago and the relatively warmer lake waters keep readings in the 60s for the immediate suburbs.

Thursday Afternoon Temperatures

Following three straight days in which the official high has been 83-degrees, Thursday promises to bring the warmest daytime temperatures yet of this recent warm cycle. The forecast high of 85-degrees will make this the warmest day in a month, since 87-degrees on August 18!

Lake Michigan Water Temperatures and Boating Forecast

Another ideal day for area boaters who are able to take advantage of the gorgeous conditions. A light south wind will become easterly and freshen a bit to nearly 15 knots in the afternoon, creating a modest 1–2-foot chop, but hardly anything too intimidating. Water temperatures remain quite comfortable for the back half of September.


Sunburn Forecast

Weather Maps

For more information on the current weather conditions and forecast, please refer to our weather maps section.

Climate & Environment

For more information on climate and environment news, please refer to our climate and environment section.

Interactive Radar

For more information on interactive radar, please refer to our interactive radar section.

Weather Bug Cameras

For more information on weather bug cameras, please refer to our weather bug cameras section.

7-Day Outlook

For more information on the 7-day outlook, please refer to our 7-day forecast section.

Weather Center Newsletter

For more information on the weather center newsletter, please refer to our weather center newsletter section.

Current Conditions




Next Few Hours


Extended Outlook

Chicago Forecast Highs and Departure from Normal

Temperatures peak on Thursday then drop off a bit over the weekend due to more cloud coverage and rain chances but remain well above normal.

Temperature Outlook: September 25 through October 1

This graphic confirms what the previous 850 millibar forecast animation was showing. Warmer than normal to, in some cases, much above normal temperatures to dominate the final week of September for much of the Lower 48. The one exception: the Pacific Northwest, where cooler than normal conditions are expected.

Chicago Precipitation Chances

Rain chances increase heading into the weekend, but the best coverage areawide appears to be on Sunday at this distance.

Forecast Animation: Tracking Potential Precipitation through Next 5 Days

Any rainfall looks spotty in coverage as we begin the weekend, but better chances to give your lawn and garden a drink of water Sunday into Monday.

Chicago Humidity Forecast

While hardly anything close to some of the humid levels observed earlier in the summer, there will be a jump in humidity over the weekend as we reintroduce rain chances into the forecast. Moderate levels (dew points in the 60s) are currently forecasted.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane later this weekend.

Forecast Ensemble Mean

Some forecast variety in the maximum intensity. Many models show Category 3 pressure < 960s mb and while the storm is likely to stay far away from the United States, it could brush parts of Bermuda early next week.

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